College Football 2008

 

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POLLSPEAK

Pollspeak is a watchdog organization dedicated to keeping college sports polls (and computer-rankings) honest, or at least questioning those that seem to be flawed, uneducated or have an unreasonable bias.  Why?  Because polls affect teams' TV exposure, finances, recruiting and national championship hopes. 

Voters and pollsters must be held accountable.

 

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Week 7

AP LogoClerical Error with Jim Lamar's Ballot  (posted 10/14/08)

AP voter Jim Lamar tells Pollspeak that the wrong ballot was posted by the AP in week 7.  It was a "clerical error" according to the AP and was corrected two days after release.  The AP also assured us that it was just a display error on their site and did not affect the actual poll results.  As of 10/14/08, Pollstalker has been updated to reflect the proper ballot.

The issue was brought to our attention when we received criticism from Florida Gator fans who noticed that Lamar actually dropped Florida in his ballot after the win over LSU.  They accused Lamar of "FSU bias" since he is a writer for the Tallahassee Democrat.  Lamar does have the Gators lowest in the country at #13 in week 8, however, this was three spots better than his "real" week 7 ballot.  He also chose not to rank FSU either week; so if he is biased towards FSU, he's not doing a thorough job.  Still, Pollspeak will continue to monitor the situation.  Please continue to send us feedback; you may help us catch bias or other errors.

Scott WolfBad Voter of Week 7 -- Scott Wolf   (posted 10/8/08)

Name Good Votes Bad Votes Net Bad Votes
Scott Wolf  28  214  186 

Pollspeak welcomes Scott Wolf back to the radar.  Wolf was a regular last year -- named worst voter of the week twice along with two dishonorable mentions.  He received the most net bad votes this week, and fits Pollspeak's example for the week...so the choice is unanimous.

Wolf alienated much of the state of Oklahoma, voting the Sooners lowest at #3 and being one of two people to leave Oklahoma State off his ballot.  He also voted Penn State lowest at #11.  He wasn't completely alone on any of these, but the combination of the three must have earned him enough Bad votes to "win."

As for Pollspeak's Pick, see our article on SI.com for the reasoning.  Wolf is the perfect counter-example to how Pittsburgh, USF and Kansas should be ranked.  He ranks them:  Kansas #10, USF #18, and Pittsburgh Unranked.  They all have the same number of losses (one) and they are ranked the exact opposite of who beat whom in their head-to-head matchups.  Not only that, the gap between the teams is one of the largest.  Molly Yanity actually has the largest gap between Kansas and Pittsburgh, and could have just as easily been Pollspeak's Pick, but the unpopular vote and his leaving Oklahoma State unranked pushed Wolf ahead.  We're not saying that voters have to slavishly follow head-to-head rankings when records are the same, but be aware of them and have valid reasons based on how teams have played.  When not ranking the winner ahead, we would think the winner would at least be CLOSE to the loser in rank.

So why did Wolf rank the way he did.  We can't know for sure, but checking his voting history this year, it's obvious that he hasn't changed his votes for those teams very much throughout the year.  Including the preseason, Wolf has only ranked Kansas between #10 - #14 all season long.  USF #8 - #18 (starting at #17 in the preseason and #18 this week), and Pitt #25 in the preseason and unranked since.  So we can only guess that his "preseason speculation" is having some affect on his current rankings.

We're also not sure why Oklahoma State isn't ranked.  A good guess is the weak schedule the Cowboys have played so far, which is ranked #128 in strength by Sagarin.  However, that didn't stop Wolf from ranking Tulsa, whose schedule is listed at #145.  Maybe he is just trying to be kind to at least one team in Oklahoma.

Photo Not AvailablePEOPLE'S PICK: Good Voter of Week 7 -- Bret Bloomquist   (posted 10/8/08)

Name Good Votes Bad Votes Net Good Votes
Bret Bloomquist  50  44 

Bret Bloomquist actually didn't get the most Good votes; he was third.  Kirk Herbstreit received 128 and Jon Wilner received 116.  However, those two received more Bad votes than Good (Herbstreit actually received more Bad votes than Scott Wolf).  So that left Bloomquist the winner with 44 net good votes.  He had fans of Boise State in his corner.  He ranked them highest at #8.

Stewart MandelPOLLSPEAK'S PICK: Good Voter of Week 7 -- Stewart Mandel   (posted 10/8/08)

Since Pollspeak didn't get to pick its own Bad Voter of the Week, and this week's popular Good Voter (Bloomquist) won with an underwhelming number of votes (44), we decided to pick our own Good Voter of the Week.

Stewart Mandel was Pollspeak's first Good Voter of the Week back in week seven of 2007.   The reasons then are the reasons now.  This week he decided to "recalibrate" his ballot and make some significant changes.  The results were well thought out.  You can read his article about it here.

We hope more voters will take this tact in the future, shed their preseason conceptions, and make significant moves in their ballots based on actual game-day performances. 

(Disclaimer: Pollspeak has recently begun writing a regular blog on SI.com, but this in no way affects our choices.  However if anybody would like to claim bias in our reporting of bias, you may do so on the FORUM.)

SI.com LogoPollspeak's Second Blog on SI.com (posted 10/6/08)

Amazingly, Sports Illustrated hasn't kicked us to the curb.  This week's entry covers the problem of ranking Pittsburgh, USF and Kansas.  Also, are computer polls biased towards schools with good computer science programs?  Check it out HERE.

Computer IconAnderson & Hester Computer Rankings Released and Massey FBS List Now Used  (posted 10/6/08)

Pollstalker now includes the Anderson & Hester College Football Computer Rankings Top 50 in the BCS+AP Compiled '08 Report.  Anderson/Hester is one of the six computer polls used by the BCS and was just released for 2008.

Also, starting in 'Week 7' we will only be listing FBS teams in the Massey Ratings.  According to Ken Massey, the FBS list is what he sends to the BCS.  BCS Administrator, Bill Hancock, confirms that only FBS teams are eligible for the BCS.


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