Week 10
Learn about four flaws in the current system that must be corrected if the
BCS is to survive. Pollspeak's most intriguing special feature yet
includes never before released information about how the BCS works. Click
the link above to read it or check out the new "Features" menu at the top of
every page in the Football section.
Last week
Pollspeak sided with the voters and resisted a strong urge to vote Jon Wilner
Bad Voter of Week 9. It was just too hard to resist two weeks in a row.
This is his first time Pollspeak has picked Wilner this season, although he was
a regular contributor last season and our inaugural
Worst
Voter of the Year for 2007. In 2008,
Wilner's
week 10 ballot
has several issues that bear discussion:
Wilner was an obvious candidate since Pollstalker even singled him out as the
week's most extreme voter with eight extreme votes and four near-extremes.
However, extreme doesn't have to mean bad.
On the other hand, he is one of two people who voted USC over Penn State
(Kevin
Pearson is the other). This is really hard to justify, but he tries.
In his blog, Wilner points to USC's strength of schedule, which is much
stronger according to Sagarin's ratings. However, he fails to
mention that even Sagarin ranks Penn State over USC. Penn State is ranked
higher in both the standard ratings (#2 vs. #3) and ELO_CHESS (#3 vs. #9), which
is what the BCS uses. The reason Sagarin ranks Penn State higher is because
it also takes into account number of losses and to whom a team loses.
Unfortunately, Wilner has his own formula, which is likely less scientific and
less proven.
Wilner also mentions USC and Penn State's common opponents: Ohio
State and Oregon State. For some reason he
points out that USC beat the Buckeyes more convincingly, but he completely neglects the
value of USC's loss to Oregon State. What is so frustrating about reading
Wilner's blog (much like his ballot) is that he seems to spend a lot of time
thinking about his rankings only to come up with contradictory results while
leaving out important facts.
The next issue with Wilner's ballot is ranking Texas Tech
lowest in the country at #12. This is an improvement over last week's
lowest ranking of #16. You would think after beating Kansas,
a team he ranked #21 last week, the undefeated Red Raiders may have at least
earned enough respect to jump teams like Boise State (who has a
lower strength of schedule) or two-loss Ohio State, which he
currently ranks highest at #9. Texas Tech might deserve to drop out of the
top 10, if they lose this week to Texas. However, he
could wait to see if it happens first. Even if Texas Tech does lose,
some voters may still rank them higher than 12. In fact, if Texas Tech
loses, we think there is a chance Wilner will actually rank them higher next
week since their strength of schedule will improve.
As we mentioned in
our SI.com Blog, Wilner was the only voter to rank Navy
(5-3) this week. Interestingly, he left Duke and
Pittsburgh unranked. No shock over Duke … nobody ranked the Blue
Devils. But the Panthers (5-2) have a better record than the Midshipmen and
trounced them in Annapolis. However, if you're going to rank Navy, you might as
well rank Duke, too. The Blue Devils have the same number of losses (3) and also
beat Navy. Duke would surely love some publicity after last week's victory over
one-time SEC Cinderella, Vanderbilt. In fact, that win
certainly contributed to both
Sagarin and
Anderson/Hester ranking the SEC the fourth strongest conference this week.
(Note: Wilner ranked Vanderbilt over Texas Tech last week
as well.)
Jon
Wilner was also the only person this week not to rank BYU and
one of two voters not to rank Minnesota. However, on the
positive side, he is one of the few voters to actually rank Maryland
over California AND California over Michigan State,
which is how those head-to-head matchups played out. Most voters don't
have Cal on the radar yet because they've played fewer games and only have five
wins, but that should change if the Golden Bears keep winning.
| Name |
Good Votes |
Bad Votes |
Net Bad Votes |
| Craig James |
209 |
416 |
207 |
Craig James received the most Bad votes and net Bad votes (which hasn't
happened in a while). While he received a lot of Good votes, it seems
Boise State fans ruled Pollstalker this week. James voted the Broncos
lowest at #15. Even happy Virginia (#20) and Georgia Tech (#22) fans
couldn't make up the difference.
| Name |
Good Votes |
Bad Votes |
Net Good Votes |
| Ferd Lewis |
110 |
55 |
55 |
A mere 55 net Good votes was enough for
Ferd Lewis to be the people's choice this week. (Jon Wilner received the
most Good votes, 345, likely from USC, Ohio State and Navy fans, but received
nearly as many bad votes.) Pollspeak has no major issues with
Lewis' week 10 ballot so we'll make it unanimous.
Lewis' ballot is a good choice because it
is opposite Wilner's in several ways:
- Penn State over USC
- Texas Tech in a reasonable spot (#6)
- Doesn't have Navy in place of BYU or
Minnesota
Yet, he still has Maryland, Cal and
Michigan State in the order of head-to-head matchups, and as a bonus also ranks
Pittsburgh (winner of the Pitt, USF, Kansas head-to-heads).
He does have Oklahoma State lowest (#11),
but not enough Cowboy fans disagreed with his choice to matter. Boise
State likely gave him his Good votes since he was one of two people to rank them
highest at #9. Luckily for Lewis, Utah fans already made their point last
week.
Is there still consensus? Is the BCS watered down? Are people watching
the games? What does Barbara Billingsley have to do with football?
Those questions answered and more
in this week's blog on
SI.com.
It looks like many of the ballots are
actually pre-season ballots and not week 10 ballots.
Until the AP corrects the ballots, Pollstalker
voting will be postponed. Hopefully it will be
corrected soon, and we will keep you posted.
UPDATE 3:30pm EST: 10/26/08 -- It turns out that the AP
site erroneously lists every week's ballot as week 10. This is a technical
glitch on the AP site, but you can see the actual 'Week 10' ballots at the
bottom of each voter's page. Pollstalker now contains the proper ballots
and voting is open. We ask AP voters to please check their ballots and let
us know if you find any issues.
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